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Cairns Lockie eMortgage Newsletter 20/2009

Rate Rise Across the Tasman, Mortgage Fraud a Real Problem, Housing Shortage Likely are More

Cairns Lockie Mortgage Commentary

Issue 2009 / 20   6 November 2009

Welcome to the twentieth fortnightly Cairns Lockie Mortgage Commentary for 2009.  We aim to keep you informed on developments at Cairns Lockie, Home Loans and the mortgage market in general.  Previous issues of this commentary can be found on our website http://www.emortgage.co.nz/newsletters.htm 

The Money Market
This morning (9am on 6 November 2009) the money markets were at the following levels:
Official cash rate    2.50% (unchanged)
90 day bill rate       2.80 (up from 2.77%)
1 year swap rate    3.45 (down from 3.65)
3 year swap rate    5.03 (down from 5.22)
10 year bond rate   6.03 (down from 6.05)
Kiwi dollar             0.7212 (down from 0.7508) 

Rate Rise Across the Tasman
Earlier this week the Reserve Bank of Australia increased their overnight cash rate by 0.25% from 3.25% to 3.50%. This was on top of a previous increase of 0.25% the month before. As a result floating rates are expected to increase by this amount across Australia. We are now in an unusual situation where our overnight cash rate is a full 1.0% lower than that in Australia at 2.5%. This is most uncommon, as wholesale rates for most of the last twenty years have been lower in Australia than here. The reasons for this appear to be that Australia is coming out of the recession faster than us. As the world economy improves, the demand for Australian minerals will continue to improve and this sector is a dominant export earner.  The Governor of our Reserve Bank has said our overnight cash rate is expected to remain at current levels for at least the next six months.  

Mortgage Fraud a Real Problem
Borrowers often ask lenders why they require so much information, original documents, independent valuations and two forms of identity. There are two main reasons; lenders have to be clearly able to identify who they are lending to and secondly, it has to do with fraud.  Mortgage fraud is continuing to increase at serious rates. In order to counter act this, lenders are doing more checks, such as employment, valuation and obtaining original documents.  It is much easier to forge or to change copies but harder with originals. Giving a lender more information is just part of the funding process.  

Housing Shortage Likely
In our last newsletter we discussed that immigration was up for the year and that this is generally viewed as positive for the country. But it leads to another issue – how do we house the migrants. Due to the demise of much of the finance company sector, who were active in funding residential housing construction, fewer dwellings are being built. The NZ Property Investors Federation believes that we need to build 20,000 new dwellings a year, but currently only 7,000 are being built. The number of new housing consents, which peaked at 27,000 a couple of years ago, has now declined to around 14,000 for this year. The most likely effect of this, and exactly what the Reserve Bank does not want to see, is that house prices will increase over the short and median terms. 

What are Corporate Trustees?
There is growing trend to use family trusts to structure one’s affairs. For most trusts, the trustees are the settlors, with independent trustees being either a lawyer or an accountant. An alternative to this is to use a corporate trustee which is a limited liability company. This company may be the like of NZ Guardian Trust or the Public Trust who acts as trustees for a large number of trusts or a single purpose company which has been specially set up to act as a trustee for your trust. There are both advantages and disadvantages in using a corporate trustee company. It is most important to obtain independent legal advice when forming a trust and to discuss with your legal adviser who the appropriate trustee or trustees should be.  

Mortgage Interest Rates
For updated mortgage interest rates, either for new business or applicable to your existing loan, please contact your Lender or the Cairns Lockie Limited Loan Administration Department.